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- Good day to you all, and a warm welcome
to our foreign guests.
- I am honoured to be chairing this
meeting, which will enable us to look in detail at the economic
conditions of Turkey with regard to its gradual entrance into the
European Union.
- From an economic standpoint, two serious
financial crises in three months -- between November and February --
have had an effect similar to the earthquake which struck the country
in 1999.
- A leading figure behind the Turkish
government's economic plan for 2001/2002, of which the agreement with
the International Monetary Fund is a part, is here with us today:
Turkey's Minister for the Economy, Kemal Dervis. As a result of this
agreement, the International Monetary Fund is already working with the
country to resolve the problems arising from a devaluation of more
than 30%, prompted by the brave but inevitable and necessary
abandonment of a fixed exchange rate policy.
- An injection of liquidity by the Central
Bank has pegged rising interest rates and given breathing room to
commercial banks. In addition, the new economic plan sets the
following short-term goals: disinflation, strengthening of fiscal
policy and structural reforms to enable the country to implement
economic recovery and move towards the goal of joining the EU. But
above all, it requires the certainty of a definitive legal and
regulatory framework.
- Renewed confidence in the Turkish market
by foreign investors and companies, Italians in particular, appears to
be just around the corner.
- Last year Italian firms did a lot of
business on the Turkish market, taking advantage of the highly
favourable world economic situation. Booming Italian exports were
driven by GDP growth (+6%) and increased demand for consumer and
investment products. In the first ten months of the year, that is,
before the November crisis struck, the sale of Italian goods was up
67% on the same period in 1999.
- As you will be aware, Italy is Turkey's
number two trading partner, just behind Germany.
- Despite the difficult economic situation,
no Italian companies have decided to pull out of the country. This is
a sign of great confidence in the institutions, and an acknowledgement
of the attractive growth prospects in a number of sectors of the
economy. Telecommunications is one of these sectors.
- The government in Ankara recently (13
May) made a signal to its partners in the West when it confirmed its
desire to sell off up to 100% of Turk Telecom, whilst retaining a
golden share.
Note: The privatization law
in question, the result of a political compromise between privatization
supporters and detractors, seems to include a provision whereby foreign
companies may not hold more than 45% of Turk Telecom share capital, nor
hold a majority of voting rights. It also appears that the privatization
law contains a measure whereby if the government privatizes more than 50%
of company capital, this voids the exclusive licence guarantee until 31
December 2003. Theoretically, the full share capital could be sold off,
with the exception of a "special share" which, for security
reasons, would remain in the hands of the Turkish Treasury Ministry. This
golden share would entitle the Turkish ministry to a place on the Board of
Directors of Turk Telecom. Five per cent of shares are set to be sold to
small investors and employees of Turk Telecom and the Post Office.
- These, however, are not the ideal
grounds for becoming part of Europe. This form of privatization would
simply create a new monopoly, to all effects run by the government.
The requisites for
joining the European Union include guaranteeing free market competition
within member states. It is my belief that on this issue Turkey ought to
review the guiding principles behind this privatization.
- Naturally, reassuring signals for
further development of relations with Western investors must, within a
reasonably short space of time, be backed up by an overall legislative
and regulatory framework that is both definitive and certain.
- Here, the Turkish government has
expressed its commitment to bring its legislation regarding
interconnection licences and universal service into line with Europe.
This move comes as part of the government's previously announced
intention to bolster the role of the Telecommunications Regulatory
Authority.
- These are pledges that immediately bring
Turkey into line with the principal European countries.
- As you know, TIM has been operating in
Turkey since 21 March, when, in partnership with IS-Bankasi, it
launched Aria, Turkey's third mobile telephony company: a brand new
company offering new value added services, new price
plans and a brand new customer focus.
- In just over two months Aria has
acquired more than 113,000 customers.
- TIM must be in a position to compete on
equal terms with the other two Turkish carriers, which means the
opportunity to obtain national roaming on their networks.
- Law no. 4502 of 27 Jan. 2000 requires
mobile telephone companies to accede to 'reasonable, economically
suitable and technically feasible' roaming requests. But as things
stand, no agreement has been reached, nor has the Regulatory Authority
issued any detailed rulings regarding national roaming.
- Facilitating this practice would be
proof of the country's real commitment to free competition in the
telecommunications market.
- TIM is a strong believer in Turkey's
potential and in its ability to modernize. This conviction extends to
the telecommunications industry.
- Indeed, despite its current economic
woes, the financial community continues to keep an interested eye on
your country's huge potential, and on its plans for modernization and
development.
- At the present time, Turkey as a nation
knows that it has what it takes to become a full member of the
European Union.
- The very fact that I am here today shows
how confident TIM is about Turkey. As you know, the TIM Group
currently enjoys undisputed leadership in mobile telephony technology
and in the mobile telephony market, with more than 48 million
customers worldwide. The Group already offers these customers highly
innovative services that draw upon leading-edge technologies such as
WAP and GPRS in the run-up to launch of UMTS (three licences: Italy,
Spain and Austria).
- The TIM Group has a dedicated
organizational structure and specific strategy for its international
operations: following rationalization of wireline operations, which
are now managed by parent company Telecom Italia, Group mobile
operations are handled by TIM. Where we are present we are building
strong, streamlined structures staffed by human resources capable of
rising to the challenge.
- Our goal is a selective presence in the
areas we have identified as strategic to development of our business
-- Latin America, Europe and the nations surrounding the Mediterranean
Basin: growing markets where we are consolidating our position.
- To conclude, I believe that though
keeping a close eye on the current financial crisis, Italian
businesses perceive Turkey as a major market, a bridge between Europe,
the Middle East and the Asian Republics of the former Soviet Union,
with which Istanbul has a special relationship. Turkey occupies a
decidedly strategic geographical location. At the present time, it is
still too early to say which of the two sides of the country's spirit
will prevail: whether it will be the faction that is in favour of high
inflation, of making money from the profitable treasury bonds market
and preventing any change to the status quo, or else the young,
entrepreneurial, pro-European part of the country which favours rigour
and transparency.
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